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To reverse a years of damaging overall element productivity, regional labour market policy is moving from basic task production to handling active labor force transitions. Governments and companies are scaling short, modular training programs and micro-credentials in data analytics and digital operations to equip employees for emerging roles. Workplace-based learning and apprenticeship-style paths are becoming more typical as firms integrate AI tools into everyday workflows.
With oil costs anticipated to average $55-60 per barrel in 2026, local governments are magnifying their focus on expenditure discipline and private capital mobilisation. Financial policy is pivoting toward the monetisation of state-owned assets in logistics, utilities, and desalination to reroute funds towards higher-impact financial investments. While borrowing via sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to money tactical deficits, the focus remains on strengthening non-oil profits frameworks.
PwC Middle East economic policy and technique partner Jing Teow stated: "Having currently mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC federal governments are now focused on delivery. In 2026, the priority is enhancing financial resilience through more safe and secure trade and investment relationships, effective AI implementation, handled labor force shifts and disciplined financial policy in a more challenging and fragmented international environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf region's economic expansion in 2026, supported by strong private-sector efficiency, resilient domestic need and renewed financial investment momentum, according to the latest ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is expected to exceed most international areas peers next year, with local GDP forecast to grow by 4.4%. Across the GCC, non-energy activity is predicted to broaden by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, improving credit conditions and rising investment in technology and AI-related infrastructure.
Although oil profits will be under pressure in the first half of 2026, production is anticipated to rise again in the second half of 2026, supporting the region's medium-term outlook, it mentioned. Saudi Arabia will stay a significant contributor to GCC momentum, with GDP projection to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Development will be supported by commercial growth and policy reforms, including eased foreign ownership guidelines that aim to promote more financial investment. The financial deficit is projected to broaden to 5.6% of GDP next year amidst softer oil rates, while the recent five-year lease freeze in Riyadh aims to ease inflationary pressures, though it might constrain future housing supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is also placed for another strong year of efficiency, with GDP projection to rise 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to broaden. Tourism, trade and financial services stay essential development motorists, supported by population growth and continual domestic need. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the first half of 2025, showing broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is anticipated to pick up once again in the second half of 2026, complementing continuous financial investment in infrastructure, technology and global trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook reinforces how far the GCC has come in structure varied, resilient and internationally competitive economies.
Scott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Advisor, and Chief Financial Expert and Handling Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are going into 2026 with strong structures. Saudi non-oil activity is gaining speed, supported by robust demand and rising financial investment, even as fiscal pressures increase.""The UAE continues to gain from strong domestic principles, a sharp uplift in federal government spending and sustained diversity efforts.
Industrial Excellence: a Strategic Pillar for 2026 GrowthWhat identifies 2026 from preceding years is not simply the acceleration of technological modification, though that velocity is genuine, however rather an essential shift in how enterprises envisage their GCCs' function. The is expected to grow to four hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, however this development masks a more extensive transformation.
Instead, they ask whether these centers drive innovation, own profit-and-loss responsibility, and add to competitive differentiation. In 2026, the most effective GCCs will act like internal startups, nimble, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply lined up with worldwide organization outcomes. This shift from execution to ownership represents possibly the single most considerable tactical recalibration in the GCC model's advancement.
Today, we're assembling more than 3000 meetings between financiers and 119 Gulf-listed companies with a combined value of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're bringing together investors, companies, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is altering in the area, and what follows, including the expansion and continuous development of the Gulf's capital markets, and the area's growing function in global networks of capital and trade.
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